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Thu nhập, dữ liệu chi tiêu cần phải trở lại điểm phục hồi kinh tế

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Thu nhập, dữ liệu chi tiêu cần phải trở lại điểm phục hồi kinh tế

Post by Admin on Sun Nov 22, 2015 1:38 pm

Доходы, данных о расходах должны поддержать мнение экономического восстановления

With earnings season all but over, investors seeking signs of a continued economic recovery will look for rising consumer spending and income in the holiday foreshortened week.

Stocks finished last week with strong gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.51% advanced 3.4%, the S&P 500 Index SPX, +0.38% rose 3.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, +0.62% gained 3.6%.

Retail earnings have been a mixed bag this season with big box retailers like Wal-Mart WMT, -1.04% and Target TGT, +0.40% doing well and traditional department stores like Macy’s M, +0.16% and Nordstrom JWN, +0.65% feeling the pinch. Some confidence returned to retail stocks last week after Nike NKE, +5.46% announceda $12 billion buyback plan, a dividend hike, and a stock split late Thursday.

Barring some horrible event, expect stocks to continue to bounce back and forth this week with a slight uptrend seeing that the Federal Reserve has more or less endorsed the economic recovery with a telegraphed December rate hike, according to Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial.

With earnings reports on the wane, economic data will fall back into focus. October consumer spending data and personal income data are due out on Wednesday, and Black Friday falls on this week.

“The real question is: We saw job growth, but is that translating into income and spending?” said McMillan. “Is the assumption that the economy is back on track valid?”

Other data points of interest this week include the third-quarter GDP revision on Tuesday. Economists polled by MarketWatch expect an upward revision to 2.1% from 1.5%. But if that doesn’t happen, that “could throw a wrench into the works as well,” McMillan said.

Other economic data this week include October existing homes sales on Monday; November consumer confidence data on Tuesday; and weekly jobless claims, November’s consumer sentiment reading, October durable goods orders, and October new home sales data on Wednesday.

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